Certainly, definitely and absolutely we will be signing a centre-back this winter, as we currently only have three, and one of those (Ivan) is our preferred right-back. Also, we mustn't forget Terry might get banned, which would be potentially disastrous.
Will it be Cahill? I would be very happy, as he is as good as we can hope for, bearing in mind he will only be cover for Luiz and Terry. He is English, proven in the Prem, plays alongside Terry for England, and will be cheap. It's a no-brainer. However Man Utd may want him now that Vidic is out, and there are strong rumours Spurs are in for him. If I were him I would want guaranteed first-team football, seeing as he is approaching his peak and has international ambitions. At Chelsea (or Utd) he would only ever be a squad player. He should go to Spurs, but money talks.
I also think we wlll go in for Pereira, a player AVB definitely wants. Ashley Cole is on the wane and I think AVB realises that and Pereira is a player he knows and clearly fancies, which is good enough for me. I trust AVB's judgement implicitly. I would not be surprised to see Ashley go next summer, and I think Pereira and Bertrand will be vying for that first-team spot next term. Porto will demand the earth. I expect us to back the manager and pay it.
Right-back? Let's look at that. Ferreira is finished, Bosingwa is adequate cover for me this season, I see no reason to strengthen this position this winter. In the summer we will need to find a replacement for Bosingwa, who is probably going. Ivan is the man at right-back and that will remain the case. No need to tinker this winter.
Midfield. Of course we would all love Modric but it's not going to happen. Not this winter. Maybe in the summer if Spurs don't make the CL and we do. However I suspect Utd may have a say in that. I have always liked Modric. He is pure class. So, if he's not coming, who is? Well, we have Romeu (with Mikel as cover), we have Ramires, and we have Mereiles or Lampard to fill that third slot. We are basically filling three places from five, and we need more. Josh should go out on loan, for his own sake. The key is Essien. If we're going to go for Modric or someone of that ilk it will be next summer, so whoever comes in should just be for the purposes of cover, as we've often done in previous winter windows. If it is deemed Essien can make it back, then there's no need to buy, and personally I'm hopeful. He will only be a squad player this term but an important one potentially. If not, or if we cannot rely upon him coming back, buy, but don't buy someone who will rock the apple cart or will expect to walk straight into the team. That could cause problems and is unneccessary, as we're just starting to find our feet. Leave that signing til the summer.
Wingers? We all want one. If the right one's out there, buy him as soon as possible. We are picking 2 from 3 at the moment, and one of them (Sturridge) could potentially play up top when Drogba goes to the ACN, as we will only have Torres as an option. A winger also potentially allows Mata to play midfield, in a creative role, thus could solve many problems. Pace, trickery, width. Bring it in.
If we get that winger we don't need to replace Drogba this winter, we can look at that next summer. Torres and Sturridge are good options to have in his absence, bearing in mind if we sign a top striker he will expect to play games, and that will cause problems, especially when Drogba returns. Drogba is just rediscovering his form, we would be mad to prioritise a striker over a winger this winter in my opinion.
Leave it for the winter. We can take stock, assess the squad, and bring the right guys in, the guys who will make the difference, strengthening our team.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, next season I fully expect Ashley Cole, Mereiles and Drogba to no longer feature in our strongest first team.
To summarise ..
This winter we need a centre-back; we could do with a left-back; depending on Essien's fitness we could do with cover in midfield (or settle for Malouda); and if a long-term solution on the flank is available, buy him.
That's four players max.
Players going out, if we find takers ..
Alex, Anelka, Kalou.
Josh and Lukaku go out on loan.
Voila.