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who else is feeling more skeptical about winning the league as each fixture approaches?

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If you compare our remaining fixtures to Tottenham, we clearly have a tougher April whereas they have a tougher May. In fact I would say that our next three games - United (a), Southampton, Everton (a) - are the hardest of the 7 we have left. Therefore the key for us is to get to May with a lead, ideally 5 points or more. If we can do that then we'll be very close indeed. 

Whilst Tottenham are sadly on a roll at the moment I find it very hard to think that they will win all of their games from here on. To do that would mean equalling our run of 13 consecutive wins. They've found it much tougher away from home and all of their away games look tricky for various reasons (Leicester, Palace, West Ham, Hull). On top of that they have United and Arsenal still at home. 

When you add all of that together then it's no wonder most bookies give us roughly a 90% chance of winning the title at this point. That said it's still going to be very nervy, we still need to pick up a considerable chunk of points. One game at a time!

i believe 12 points will be enough for the title,as well as the spuds are playing i can not see them winning all their remaining games.

but i do think that by the end of april it will be closer than now ,but we will pull away again in may

I'm much more confident after that Bournemouth win. I'm also willing to bet Spurs will be sick that after dropping points to Palace, they expected to be closer than 7 points behind us with very tough games against City and Bournemouth on the horizon.

IMO, they were banking on that mini run to close the gap and then try and leap us while we play Utd, Saints and Everton. As it stands, I cant see that happening.

Draw or beat Utd next week and we've one hand on the trophy.

I've been studying the remaining games - why is it that I am even more worried now?  I see all their games as winnable and all of ours as loseable!  Bloody hell, it's worrying!

1 hour ago, Beerqueen said:

I've been studying the remaining games - why is it that I am even more worried now?  I see all their games as winnable and all of ours as loseable!  Bloody hell, it's worrying!

i am the same !! just need to have a bit of faith in the team, they are playing like winners

Just now, luckywerthers said:

i am the same !! just need to have a bit of faith in the team, they are playing like winners

I think I was just about to relax when we lost to Palace and then it was like "bloody hell, if we can lose at home to Palace, we can lose anything".  Ironically that was the one game I wasn't too concerned about.  Just shows, I need to keep worrying!

Seeing Palace beat Arsenal 3-0 relaxes me a little. We were so unlucky in that game.

I agree with the above, beat José and his boys and we are on a good move. Even if we lose to our two toughest games (Everton and José) then we still have a 1 point lead over Spurs who would have to win every game to keep it like that.

I'm relatively nervous but believing.

5 hours ago, AnIrishTrueBlue said:

Seeing Palace beat Arsenal 3-0 relaxes me a little. We were so unlucky in that game.

I agree with the above, beat José and his boys and we are on a good move. Even if we lose to our two toughest games (Everton and José) then we still have a 1 point lead over Spurs who would have to win every game to keep it like that.

I'm relatively nervous but believing.

I'm not reading anything into last nights result, Arsenal are broken and gutless, they've all quit on the the badge and their boss.

Last night was a mid table team beating another mid table team for me.

Our Remaining Fixtures: Man Utd (A), Southampton (H), Everton (A), Boro (H), West Brom (A), Watford (H), Sunderland (H) 

Spurs Remaining Fixtures: Bournemouth (H), Leicester (A), Palace (A), Arsenal (H), West Ham (A), Man Utd (H), Hull City (A)

If we look at this logically, we should win all four of those home games. Southampton have nothing to play for, same with Watford. Meanwhile Boro should be comfortable and Sunderland last game of the season will be down by that point. Then that requires us only to win one of three away games. Man Utd I'd say a Draw is the most likely result, neither side wants to lose that game. Everton at Goodison is our bogey team, I'll put that down as a loss. West Brom is somewhere we should be going to and winning, they have little to play for and that's a good opportunity for three. 

Spurs on the other hand will beat Bournemouth, probably beat Leicester as they will be resting players ahead of the Atletico return game. Then hopefully drop at least 3 points out of Palace and Arsenal games, both tough for different reasons. Beat West Ham, draw against United and beat Hull leaving them with 16 points from their final fixtures and 84 points.

So by my calculations we should end up on anything between 87-91 points, and Spurs with no more than 84, leaving us as Champions... Fingers crossed :biggrin:

 

Surely they won't win all of the remaining games. It'd be a massive ask for us to do that, never mind Tottenham.

We're 7 points clear, so we can afford 2 losses or 3 draws out of 7 games. (If Tottenham matches our winning run.)

Our 13 winning run, no one has done better since Arsenal in 2002.

We've never dropped points that often in such a short amount of games since September.

Dont pay any attention to what Tottenham does, we'll do our job. Have more faith in the lads

Edited by dansubrosa

Mad that a lead like ours in previous seasons meant the title was done and dusted considering the form of the chasing pack. But credit to Spurs, they've been on an incredible run and are going to push us to the end. They've been incredible lately.

On 7 April 2017 at 13:55, coco said:

Spuds to equal our 13 win streak, wasted on finishing 2nd. Same with Arsenal when they did it, did'nt win the title iirc.

Pretty sure Arsenal's win streak was in the 01-02 season and they won the league that season.

Edited by Bobbywoodhogan

On 4/9/2017 at 16:21, fester said:

Chelsea will win the title as a result of Tottenham losing to Arsenal.

Chelsea stopped them last year, Arsenal will stop them this year.

Started drinking too early ?

53 minutes ago, Bobbywoodhogan said:

Pretty sure Arsenal's win streak was in the 01-02 season and they won the league that season.

You are indeed correct, been that long I had forgotten.

here's a snapshot of the table a year ago after 31 games

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2629700-epl-results-saturdays-week-32-scores-updated-2016-premier-league-table-odds

Leicester were only 4 points ahead of Spuds who had played an extra match, so basically they had a 7 point lead like CFC currently do, if CR & Leicester can hold their nerve I believe so can Antonio Conte's Chelsea.  Keep The Faith.

 

 

 

On 09/04/2017 at 21:21, fester said:

Chelsea will win the title as a result of Tottenham losing to Leicester.

Chelsea stopped them last year, Leicester will return the favour this year.

Sorry, just corrected that typo there

  • Author

After utd the two games which worry me are west brom and everton. As much as the media state we have a tougher fixtures I actually think spurs do. They have west ham away, hull away, leicester away, palace away, and utd at home and arsenal at home. I would say we have the "easier" fixtures actually and if spurs don't drop points in those games I would be very surprised. 

Their last few fixtures are pretty tough to be fair:

Palace away (after a demoralising thrashing in the FA Cup semi)

Arsenal home

West Ham away

Man Utd home

Leicester away (guaranteed spanking)

Hull away (potentially fighting for their lives)

5 hours ago, PloKoon13 said:

Their last few fixtures are pretty tough to be fair:

Palace away (after a demoralising thrashing in the FA Cup semi)

Arsenal home

West Ham away

Man Utd home

Leicester away (guaranteed spanking)

Hull away (potentially fighting for their lives)

 

I think the key thing about their run-in is that they have 4 away games out of the six games left

While their home form is impressive (15-2-0) their away form (6-6-3) is much less so ... they'd be bucking the season trend to win all four of those remaining away games ...

The two remaining home games are hardly the easiest either. I can see Man United get something out of their game (they are 9-3-2 on the road) ... can't really rely on Arsenal for too much these days though !

 

 

 

Edited by Sexyfootball

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