I'm surprised people seem eager for us to face Benfica. They topped a group with PSG and Juventus in it, they're running away with the league, and they've only lost one game in all competitions this season.

 

The only teams I'd favour us to beat right now are the two Milan teams unfortunately.

Napoli, Citeh and Bayern are the teams I think we have least chance against, the other four i would be hopeful. On a good day, with Kante maybe recovering some form and even without him, I think we can be competitive against them all. Probably been smoking too many happy pills.

7 hours ago, coco said:

How many permutations are their for a QF draw ? I'm no mathematician maybe someone else is ? Is it 7x6x5x4x3x2=5'040 ?

I am no mathematician but my guess is that there are 16 permutations. Initially there are 8 teams and the first 1 picked can be drawn against any of the other 7. After that there are 6 teams and the first one picked can play any of the other 5, after that there are 4 teams left and the first can play any of the other three. Then the last two pick themselves. So I get 7 + 5 + 3 + 1 = 16.

Happy to be corrected.

City or Bayern I would think. UTC

otamendi will not play in the first leg with benfica

could be a good thing to us but lets see what happen

I really want avoid city... 

I wouldn't want Benfica, because their fans will create a very hostile atmosphere since we bought Enzo from them, even though Enzo owed that club zilch.

Sometimes things are written before they happen, if we draw Benfica they will knock us out and the headlines will all be about how Enzo left Benfica when they could win the champions league etc

37 minutes ago, Scott said:

City or Bayern I would think. UTC

Agreed. I would be surprised if we don't get either of those two.

If we draw either AC or Inter Milan I would rate our chances of getting through as 50/50

If we draw Benfica I would rate our chances as 40/60 against.

If we draw Napoli I would rate out chances as 30/70 against.

If we draw Real I woild rather our chances as 25/75 against.

If we draw City I would rate our chances as 15/85 against.

Lastly Bayern, if we get them I would rate our chances as 5/95 against.

6 minutes ago, axman2526 said:

If we draw either AC or Inter Milan I would rate our chances of getting through as 50/50

If we draw Benfica I would rate our chances as 40/60 against.

If we draw Napoli I would rate out chances as 30/70 against.

If we draw Real I woild rather our chances as 25/75 against.

If we draw City I would rate our chances as 15/85 against.

Lastly Bayern, if we get them I would rate our chances as 5/95 against.

That is ridiculously pessimistic and any punter will get better odds from a bookie, 5% chance against Bayern? Real are average and old.

Bayern & City, unfortunately we stand no chance against those two.

Madrid & Napoli, 50/50.

Benfica, Inter, Milan. We go through.

Hopefully it is City v Bayern and Madrid v Napoli.

I want Real for revenge, City, or Bayern, not sure why people want the weaker teams. We usually do well in the champions league when the odds are up against us and we are the underdogs

Edited March 16, 20233 yr by Frankie8Lampard

We are the Chelsea and we are the best, We are the Chelsea so F all the rest.

Don't care who we get. We can beat anyone - and if we can't, then we don't deserve to be in the competition anyway. 

3 hours ago, axman2526 said:

If we draw either AC or Inter Milan I would rate our chances of getting through as 50/50

If we draw Benfica I would rate our chances as 40/60 against.

If we draw Napoli I would rate out chances as 30/70 against.

If we draw Real I woild rather our chances as 25/75 against.

If we draw City I would rate our chances as 15/85 against.

Lastly Bayern, if we get them I would rate our chances as 5/95 against.

If we can Kante healthy and firing, then our chance is at least 50/50 against anybody. 

 

Edited March 16, 20233 yr by Bob stark

7 hours ago, ozboy said:

I am no mathematician but my guess is that there are 16 permutations. Initially there are 8 teams and the first 1 picked can be drawn against any of the other 7. After that there are 6 teams and the first one picked can play any of the other 5, after that there are 4 teams left and the first can play any of the other three. Then the last two pick themselves. So I get 7 + 5 + 3 + 1 = 16.

Happy to be corrected.

At the beginning of the draw there are 28 possible combinations. That though doesn’t take into account the combinations of each team being drawn at home.

based on what im reading in this thread people are overrating Bayern. They have not been that impressive this year, especially in the bundesliga, but I do still think they are probably more likely than not to beat us but I definitely would rather play them at the moment than Napoli or City. 

Ideal draw for me would be Benfica and beating them would be glorious just to see Rui Costa get pissed off even more! Both the milan teams im sure we can take as well and out of the rest preferably madrid as they havent looked all that good this year either, but they are still scary when it comes to the CL.

 

Knowing our luck and city's bribery though we'll get Napoli and City will get one of the milan teams!

8 hours ago, axman2526 said:

If we draw either AC or Inter Milan I would rate our chances of getting through as 50/50

If we draw Benfica I would rate our chances as 40/60 against.

If we draw Napoli I would rate out chances as 30/70 against.

If we draw Real I woild rather our chances as 25/75 against.

If we draw City I would rate our chances as 15/85 against.

Lastly Bayern, if we get them I would rate our chances as 5/95 against.

That's pathetic. Our odds of going through against AC Milan are 50/50 despite thrashing them in the group stages?

Inter, Benfica and AC Milan would be clear underdogs when playing against us. City, Napoli and Real would be very hard to deal with I agree. Bayern is overrated and only slight favourite playing us. They haven't really been good for a while now. Haven't managed to get past the quarter finals for the last 3 years including an embarassing round of 16 loss to Villareal. Not convincing in the Bundesliga either considering the lack of competition.

Thank God Spurs got knocked out. Imagine getting them, and getting knocked out .

I feel sick just imagining that scenario.

16 minutes ago, The Rising Sun said:

Thank God Spurs got knocked out. Imagine getting them, and getting knocked out .

I feel sick just imagining that scenario.

I deeply regret even reading this,, very unsettling 

11 hours ago, Drogba1 said:

I'm surprised people seem eager for us to face Benfica. They topped a group with PSG and Juventus in it, they're running away with the league, and they've only lost one game in all competitions this season.

 

The only teams I'd favour us to beat right now are the two Milan teams unfortunately.

That was while they had Enzo who was their best player if not one of the best. 

12 hours ago, ozboy said:

Probably been smoking too many happy pills.

That's a new one on me smoking a pill 😆

1 hour ago, The Rising Sun said:

Thank God Spurs got knocked out. Imagine getting them, and getting knocked out .

I feel sick just imagining that scenario.

Was bad enough playing Arsenal in 2004 got to admit I was so pissed during the first leg I've no recollection of it at all without Googling I think Eidur scored for us Pires for them. The second leg was brilliant '' Follow follow follow there was only two minutes to go when Bridge scored that goal that sent us out of control and knocked Arsenal out of Euro'' great night 😎

Edited March 16, 20233 yr by bluehaze

Bayern aren't great by their standards this season (won 15 drawn 7 lost 2 in a weak Bundesliga). I'd rather not draw them, but I do think we could take them. We also showed we can go toe to toe with Madrid last season, so I think we have no need to fear that potential draw either. I think we can beat all three of the Italian sides over two legs, including Napoli, and Benfica, while they are indeed having a great season, should also be beatable over 2 legs.

The one draw I don't want is City, as we have lost our last 5 games against them without scoring a goal (every game since the CL final basically)

39 minutes ago, Sexyfootball said:

Bayern aren't great by their standards this season 

Yeah was thinking that too, i swear people just assume they're still Flicks 2020 team 🤣🤣

8 minutes ago, Argo said:

Yeah was thinking that too, i swear people just assume they're still Flicks 2020 team 🤣🤣

Can you blame them for being traumatized with PTSD after that sh*t show?

8 minutes ago, Argo said:

Yeah was thinking that too, i swear people just assume they're still Flicks 2020 team 🤣🤣

Having ex Stoke player Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting instead of Lewandowski at striker is the one I find amusing, albeit he is actually having a decent season ...  🙂